Bird’s-eye view of the beautiful France:

Most disussed themes:

• @samiruux: si marine le pen serait une candidate de koh lanta 😂 t.co/Hae3N1nW46
• Le Figaro, “Régionales: Martine Aubry appelée à la rescousse pour contrer Marine Le Pen” – https://www.facebook.com/61261101338/posts/10153082570481339
• @lemondefr Julian Assange: «Monsieur Hollande, accueillez-moi en France»
• Le Figaro, “Islamisme: Manuel Valls irrite la gauche en parlant d’une «guerre de civilisation» – https://www.facebook.com/61261101338/posts/10153079683871339
• @PhMarliere: Tsipras a confié à ses députés qu’il trouvait choquant le suivisme de Hollande : pendant les réunions à Bruxelles, il laisse Merkel parler.
• RFI, “François Hollande en Afrique: première étape au Bénin” – https://www.facebook.com/67334499441/posts/10153193043619442
• BFMTV, “Sarkozy accuse Tsipras de “démagogie” et de “cynisme” et “irresponsabilité” – http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J_JqtcaMhJM

Long elections, long forecast

In 3 years of analyzing social media for forecasting the people’s will and monitoring the situation development in different regions of the world we usually worked with hours, days, rarely — weeks — until the «hour X».

Now we decided to use our solutions and analytical methods for a long-term important event — elections in France, that will happen in spring, 2017.

Data for May 2015 (May 23-25):

• Mentions of politicians: 41 948
• Unique authors from France: 16 755

Active negative sentiment towards Hollande was detected in social media for example a tweet (and publication) of LeParisien: «Présidentielle : 77% des Français ne souhaitent pas que Hollande se représente

(«Presidential ellections: 77% of French do not support Hollande») was «supported» in social networks by more than 2 thousands people and caused an active discussion— more than 400 comments have negative sentiment towards the politician’s actions.

The most popular (quoted) «political» tweet is a musical remark by LauraMounsi__ — 660 retweets:

(«Rihanna had Obama in her music video, but I cannot imagine that someone from top french celebrities used an image of Hollande for his/her music video»)