The forecast for #Greferendum based on 5-days data (1 469 096 messages 383 683 authors): Ελλάδα at the fork. Day 4 – ευφορία
The forecast for #Greferendum based on 5-days data (1 469 096 messages 383 683 authors): The forecast for #Greferendum based on 5-days data (1 469 096 messages 383 683 authors): Ελλάδα at the fork. Day 3. UPD 22:00 – Syntagma
Forecast results of the Referendum at 22:00 Jule 3 (261 398 messages from 104 259 authors): OXI — 64,6% (up 3,1%), NAI — 35,4%.
Ελλάδα at the fork. Day 2. UPD 20:00
Monitoring the opinions of the Greeks in social media. The mood of residents and the updated forecast results of the Referendum:
At 20:00 (200 429 messages from 89 677 authors): OXI – 63,5% (down 4,2%), NAI – 36,5%
Ελλάδα at the fork. Day 1. UPD 22:00
Monitoring the opinions of the Greeks in social media. The mood of residents and the updated forecast results of the Referendum:
At 22:00 (357 480 messages from 142 344 authors): OXI – 67,7% (up 1,9%), NAI – 32,3%
Who is the most worried about Greece?
- Greece – 19,1%
- USA – 10,5%
- Spain – 10,5%
- Britain – 7,7%
- France – 7,1%
- Italy – 6,2%
- Germany – 5,4%
- India – 2,2%
- Belgium – 2%
- and 200 countries – 29,3%
Referendum in Greece: OXI vs NAI
Forecast the reaction of the Greek users of social networks on the question of a referendum on July 5, “Should we accept a draft agreement proposed by the European Commission, the European Central Bank and the International Monetary Fund June 25, 2015?”
During the period of June 28-30 collected and analyzed 268,234 public posts by 123,189 Greek’s authors (Twitter – 81,396 tweets, Facebook – 10,396 posts, GooglePlus – 1,926, YouTube – 1,112 and from 781 other sites, forums & blogs).
On 22:00 June 30 forecast:
- “OXI” – “No” (don’t have to accept the draft agreement) – 61.4%
- “NAI” – “Yes” (must accept) – 38.6%
G7: Obama and the others
Before the start of a summit, G7 is actively mentioned and discussed in media and social media in 192 countries of the world.
On June 6th — 128 300 messages by 65 124 authors from: Germany — 25.39%, Russia — 21.66%, USA — 10.44%, Ukraine -7.45%, Great Britain — 4.61%, France — 3.50%, Canada — 2.71%
Country leaders mentions statistcs:
- Cameron — 30,9%,
- Merkel — 28,9%,
- Obama — 16,1%,
- Harper — 8,1%,
- Abe — 3,4%,
- Hollande — 1,1%,
- Renzi — 0,5%.
Daes not add to be 100% because in в 11% of messages about G7 people speak about… Putin. Now that’s a presence of absence.
Turkey. Results with a new outcome
Precincts are closed. Results will be announced in a few hours after counting all the bulletins, but it is already clear that those elections will cause (maybe global) changes in the country:
- ruling party of president Erdogan (AKP) got less than 50%,
- Oppositionist Kurdish party HDP passes the required barrier of 10% and secures a place in Turkish Parliament.
- Istanbul — 46.8%
- Ankara— 12.2%
- Izmir — 9.1%
- Antalya — 3.0%
- Bursa — 2.9%
- other 278 cities and towns — 26%
Turkey, explosive finale
Messages about an explosion on a rally are roaring all over the world like a shockwave:
トルコで７日に控えた総選挙に向けた野党の集会で爆発が起き、２人死亡、１００人以上がけが。選挙の妨害を狙ったテロか
(Translation from Japanese: An explosion in Turkey, on the opposition rally, dedicated to the upcoming elections on June 7th — 2 men dead, more than 100 wounded. Terrorism intervenes in the elections.)
During the period 27.05-06.06 processed — 2 391 169 messages by 523 240 authors.
Distribution of authors by countries: Turkey — 90,42% (Germany — 2,95%, France — 2,04%, Great Britain — 1,12%)
Spread by Turkish Cities: Istanbul — 40.1%, Ankara — 10.7%, Izmir — 7.6%, Antalya -2.6%, Bursa — 2.5%, another 278 cities and towns — 29.3%
Prognosis: AKP — 48,1%, CHP — 20,1%, MHP — 14,4%, HDP — 11,3%, the rest — 6,1%
The Turkish gambit, a close endgame
Weekly Turkish social media monitoring data, from May 26 until June 02:
Situation— stable-active (see chart): public messages — 1 332 718 by 355 379 authors.
Distribution by cities:
- Istanbul — 45.3% authors,
- Ankara — 12.4%,
- Izmir — 9.0%,
- Bursa — 3.0%,
- Antalya -2.9%,
- another 269 cities and towns — 27.4%
Prognosis:
- AKP — 49,7%,
- CHP — 21,5%,
- MHP — 14,9%,
- HDP — 13,9%
