Long elections, long forecast
In 3 years of analyzing social media for forecasting the people’s will and monitoring the situation development in different regions of the world we usually worked with hours, days, rarely — weeks — until the «hour X».
Now we decided to use our solutions and analytical methods for a long-term important event — elections in France, that will happen in spring, 2017.
Data for May 2015 (May 23-25):
- Mentions of politicians: 41 948
- Unique authors from France: 16 755
Active negative sentiment towards Hollande was detected in social media for example a tweet (and publication) of LeParisien: «Présidentielle : 77% des Français ne souhaitent pas que Hollande se représente
(«Presidential ellections: 77% of French do not support Hollande») was «supported» in social networks by more than 2 thousands people and caused an active discussion— more than 400 comments have negative sentiment towards the politician’s actions.
The most popular (quoted) «political» tweet is a musical remark by LauraMounsi__ — 660 retweets:
(«Rihanna had Obama in her music video, but I cannot imagine that someone from top french celebrities used an image of Hollande for his/her music video»)
